2014-2015年度孟加拉国经济增长，贫困率下降

 

Bangladesh to see economic growth, fall in poverty in 2014-15

The World Bank has predicted that Bangladesh's gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to reach 6.2 percent in the 2014-15 fiscal year (July 2014-June 2015).

The World Bank in an updated report also said that total domestic employment increased from 51.9 million in 2009-10 fiscal year (July 2009-June 2010) to 56.5 million in the 2013-14 (July 2013-June 2014) fiscal year.

"The poverty incidence, based on national poverty line (1600 taka or about 21 U.S. dollars per person per month), projected to decline from 31.5 percent in 2010 to 24.47 by 2014," it said.

"A resurgence of political unrest could depress private investment, push up inflation and put reserves under pressure," Zahid Hossain, lead economist of the World Bank's Dhaka office, told a press conference on Tuesday.

According to the report, Bangladesh Bank's inflation target, which is set at 6.5 percent for the current fiscal year, remained so far on track.

It said reserve accumulation jumped to 21.6 billion U.S. dollars at the end of June, sufficient to cover nearly 6 months of projected goods and services imports.

Domestic consumption growth boosted by remittance recovery and wage increases in the garment industry have been cited, among other factors, as reasons for sustaining growth recovery the country.

Meanwhile, Hossain said the lack of progress in compliance by garment factories could trigger loss of preferential access to the European markets.

The Asian Development Bank had earlier predicted that Bangladesh's GDP or gross domestic product growth is to grow 6.4 percent in the current 2014-15 fiscal year.

"Growth forecasts for Pakistan and Bangladesh are also edged up in 2015, but efforts to improve the climate for private investment are key in both cases," the Manila-based bank said last month.

The Bangladeshi government in June unveiled a record 2.51- trillion-taka (32.42-billion-U.S. dollar) national budget, targeting an economic growth of 7.3 percent for the next 2014-15.

The Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics estimated 2013-14 fiscal year GDP growth at 6.1 percent.

"The target of growth for the next fiscal year would be 7.3 percent, and in 2021 it would be 10 percent," Finance Minister AMA Muhith said.

译文如下：

2014-2015年度，孟加拉国经济增长，贫困率下降

世界银行预测, 在2014-2015财年(2014年7月- 2015年6月)，孟加拉国国内生产总值(GDP)的增长预计将达到6.2%。

世界银行在一个更新的报告中还提到,国内总就业人数从2009-2010财年(2009年7月- 2010年6月)的5190万增长到2013-2014财年(2013年7月- 2014年6月)的5650万。

“基于国家贫困线(每人每月1600孟加拉塔卡或21美元)的贫困发生率,预计从2010年的31.5%下降到2010年的24.47%。”它说。

“政治动荡的再现可能抑制私人投资,推高通货膨胀,对外汇储备加压。”世界银行达卡办公室的首席经济学家Zahid Hossain在周二的一场新闻发布会上说。

据报道，孟加拉央行当前财年通货膨胀的目标被设定在6.5%，迄今为止仍处于正轨。

它说，截至6月底，外汇储备飙升至216亿美元,足以覆盖近6个月内的预计商品和服务进口。

国内消费增长得益于服装行业汇款的复苏和工资的增长,以及其他因素,也作为维持经济复苏的原因。

同时, Hossain说, 服装厂缺乏合规的进展可能引发进入欧洲市场的优惠损失。

亚洲开发银行早前曾预测, 在当前2014-2015财政年度，孟加拉国国内生产总值(GDP)的增长是6.4%。

“2015年巴基斯坦和孟加拉国的增长也小幅上涨,但努力改善私人投资环境是是两国这种情况的关键。”上个月亚行表示。

孟加拉政府公布了25100亿塔卡即324.2亿美元的国家预算,把2014-2015财年的经济增长目标设定在7.3%。

孟加拉国统计局估计2013-2014年度GDP增长为6.1%。

“下一财年经济增长的目标将为7.3%,到2021年将是10%,”财政部长AMA Muhith说。