TPP协议或将对印度纺织服装出口行业造成负面影响

'TPP may impact the Indian textile and garment export sector negatively’
The 12-nation Trans-Pacific-Partnership (TPP) , a duty free trade agreement, may impact the Indian textile and garment export sector negatively and put Indian textile exports of around $40 billion at risk over the medium term, says India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra).
Amongst Asian peers Vietnam would be a key beneficiary of TPP, while India, China, and Bangladesh would be negatively impacted. Vietnam is the second-largest garment exporter in the world with garment exports worth $24 billion in 2014 and would thus be able to increase its textiles export market share strongly to TPP countries by being able to sell at zero duty.
Partial protection for the Indian textile exporters would come from the adherence to the “yarn-forward” rule in the pact. Textile and garments produced from yarn/fabric made by a TPP nation will qualify for duty-free status. Lack of sufficient capacities of yarn/fabric may however constrain member countries. This could also trigger Indian and Chinese textile companies to set up backward integration facilities in TPP countries such as Vietnam. The build-up of capacities may happen gradually and in the short-term market share of Indian exporters is likely to decline.
译文如下：
TPP协议或将对印度纺织服装出口行业造成负面影响
据印度评级和研究公司（Ind-Ra）发布的最新报告称，12国跨太平洋战略经济伙伴协定（TPP）的签订或将削弱印度纺织品出口，对印度纺织服装出口行业造成负面影响。
在亚洲同行国家中，越南将是跨太平洋战略经济伙伴协定的一个主要受益国，而印度、中国和孟加拉将受到该协议的负面影响。2014年越南成为世界上第二大服装出口国，其服装出口价值高达240亿美元。因此，强烈期盼TPP成员国可以以零关税出口至美国，以提高其纺织品出口市场份额。
TPP协议中的“纱线条款”（yarn-forward）规定，只有使用来自TPP成员国的原材料进行加工的商品才能享受成员国间零关税优惠，此举无疑将造成印度纺织原材料出口的大幅萎缩；而TPP成员国间的贸易往来零关税协定，更令印度的纺织成品出口显得毫无竞争力。