CAI预估印度棉花产量在3410万包

 

CAI estimates India's cotton output at 341 lakh bales

India's cotton output is estimated to be 341 lakh bales for 2015-16 season, which began on October 1, the Cotton Association of India (CAI) has said in a statement.

The CAI's estimate of 341 lakh bales is marginally lower than that of the total output for 2014-15 crop year which stood at 382.75 lakh bales. The lower crop estimate is mainly due to crop damage in the northern region due to whitefly attack. The total crop estimated in the northern zone during the season 2015-16, is 40 lakh bales, down from 53.50 lakh bales last year.

The arrivals of cotton during the ongoing 2015-16 season continue to lag behind last year's arrivals. According to CAI, the arrivals during 2015-16 season up to the end of March 2016, which are estimated at 280.15 lakh bales are lower by about 12 per cent than 318.45 lakh bales that had arrived till the same period last year. "This reduction in arrivals during the ongoing cotton season is also a clear indication of a lower crop this year," it pointed out.

The CAI has estimated total cotton supply for the 2015-16 season at 428.60 lakh bales with domestic consumption likely to account for 305 lakh bales. That would leave a surplus of 123.60 lakh bales.

译文如下：

CAI预估印度棉花产量在3410万包

从10月1日开始的2015-2016财年，印度棉花产量估计在3410万包，印度棉花协会（CAI）在一份声明中说。

CAI预估3410万包的数量略微比2014-2015作物年3827.5万包的产量低。较低的作物预估主要是由于在北部地区粉虱攻击造成的作物损害。2015-2016棉花季，北方区总作物估计在400万包, 低于去年的535万包。

在仍进行中的2015-2016季度，棉花的到达量继续落后于去年的到达量。根据CAI,截止到2016年3月底的2015-2016棉季，棉花到达量2801.5万包，较去年同期3184.5万包的到达量低了12%。“在本棉季中到达量的减少也明确表现出今年作物较低,”它指出。

CAI估计2015-2016棉季，棉花供应总量4286万包,国内消费可能占3050万包，使得剩余1236万包。