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印度需要出口来提高8-10%的增长

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'India needs export boost to clock 8-10% growth'

India should take the lead in pursuing the goal of open markets and develop an export-led strategy for strong economic growth as only domestic consumption cannot sustain an 8-10 per cent economic growth over the medium term, chief economic adviser Arvind Subramanian has said.
Subramanian also said Britain's vote last month to leave the European Union (EU) will only have muted impact on India's economy due to normal monsoons and easy monetary conditions.
"There will be some impact of Brexit on India. But broadly impact will be muted... We can't achieve 8-10 percent growth without outward-oriented growth strategy," Subramanian said at an event organised by 'India Policy Forum 2016' in New Delhi.
"If you (India) have outward--oriented growth strategy, you can sell in domestic markets also," he added.
On the economic growth still above 7 per cent level despite exports falling for the last 17 months, the CEA said India is not an exception and the decline in exports is due to slowdown in global demand.
Subramanian said the government's 'Make in India' initiative and efforts to improve manufacturing sector is essential to achieve higher growth rate.
He was optimistic that India can still achieve 15 per cent export growth and can raise service export from 0.2 per cent to 1.5 per cent.
He also spoke against protectionist measures adopted by developed countries, and said India and other developing countries should keep their economies open.

译文如下:

印度需要出口来提高8-10%的增长

印度应该率先追求开放市场的目标,并为强劲的经济增长发展出口导向战略,因为从中期来看,只有国内的消费不能保持8-10%的经济增长,首席经济顾问Arvind Subramanian说。

Subramanian也说上月英国投票离开欧盟(EU)对印度经济将只有温和影响,主要由于正常的雨季和宽松的货币条件。

英国退欧对印度会有一些影响。但是明显的影响将很弱,如果没有外向型发展战略,我们将不能达到8-10%的增长,”Subramanian在新德里举行的由“2016印度政策论坛组织的一次活动上表示。

如果你(印度)有出口导向的发展战略,也可以在国内市场销售,”他补充道。

尽管出口在过去17个月下降,但是经济增长仍高于7%的水平, CEA表示,印度也不例外,出口的下降是由于全球需求放缓。

Subramanian表示,政府的“印度制造”计划和努力提高制造业部门对实现更高的增长率是至关重要的。

他对于印度仍可以实现15%的出口增长以及服务出口从0.2%提高到1.5%表示乐观。

他还说反对发达国家采用保护主义措施,并说印度和其它发展中国家应该保持经济开放。

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